Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Quintanar E.
69'
69'
Navarrete L.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX U21 game between Toluca U21 and UNAM Pumas U21 finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
71%
15%
14%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- UNAM Pumas U21 haven't matched Toluca U21's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Toluca U21's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- UNAM Pumas U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Toluca U21 Clean Sheet 68%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toluca U21 | UNAM Pumas U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 18 | 16 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
1:1
Mar 3, 2026 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Toluca U21
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toluca U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Navarrete L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
UNAM Pumas U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Quintanar E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toluca U21 95 / 100
UNAM Pumas U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toluca U21 UNAM Pumas U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Toluca U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toluca U21's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
UNAM Pumas U21 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Toluca U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Toluca U21 VS UNAM Pumas U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Toluca U21
(Home) 20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Santos Laguna U21
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0 Atlas U21
30 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Juarez U21
21 Aug
Queretaro U21
0 : 2 Toluca U21
15 Aug
Atlante U21
0 : 1 Toluca U21
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Santos Laguna U21
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0 Atlas U21
30 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Juarez U21
02 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 0 Necaxa U21
21 Jul
Toluca U21
1 : 1 UNAM Pumas U21
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UNAM Pumas U21
(Away) 19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2 UNAM Pumas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2 Club Leon U21
28 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
2 : 1 UNAM Pumas U21
23 Aug
UNAM Pumas U21
0 : 1 Necaxa U21
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2 UNAM Pumas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
28 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
2 : 1 UNAM Pumas U21
31 Jul
Juarez U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
21 Jul
Toluca U21
1 : 1 UNAM Pumas U21
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Leon U21 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca U21 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Club Tijuana U21 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 17 |
| 4 | Puebla U21 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10:6 | 16 |
| 5 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Club America U21 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Pachuca U21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:13 | 13 |
| 8 | Monterrey U21 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 9 | Cruz Azul U21 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Atletico San Luis U21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:18 | 11 |
| 11 | Necaxa U21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Atlas U21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Juarez U21 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 14 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna U21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Atlante U21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 10 |
| 17 | Tigres UANL U21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 18 | Queretaro U21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6:14 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)
