Sport Picks
Toluca W vs UNAM Pumas W Prediction & H2H Stats
Mexico
Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca 
Match Events
24'
24'
Chavero P.
39'
39'
Ribeiro S.
43'
43'
Guerrero A.
AI Match Summary
Toluca W in this Liga MX Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toluca W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Toluca W lately — more wins on the board than UNAM Pumas W.
- Model gives Toluca W a 59% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Toluca W Clean Sheet 10%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toluca W | UNAM Pumas W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.2 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 13, 2026 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs UNAM Pumas W
4:2
Sep 6, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Toluca W
1:2
Jan 31, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Toluca W
3:0
Jul 19, 2024 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:2
Jan 17, 2024 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs UNAM Pumas W
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toluca W Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Robert F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
UNAM Pumas W Compare
Top Goalscorer Ribeiro S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gonzalez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toluca W 47 / 100
UNAM Pumas W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toluca W UNAM Pumas W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Toluca W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Toluca W scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
UNAM Pumas W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Toluca W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Toluca W VS UNAM Pumas W
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Toluca W
(Home) 05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2 Toluca W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4 Toluca W
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7 Tigres UANL W
15 Sept
Toluca W
6 : 0 Club Tijuana W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1 Toluca W
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7 Tigres UANL W
15 Sept
Toluca W
6 : 0 Club Tijuana W
29 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 0 Club Leon W
18 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 1 Atlas W
11 Aug
Toluca W
2 : 0 Juarez W
Page 1 of 3
UNAM Pumas W
(Away) 03 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 3 Tigres UANL W
28 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 0 UNAM Pumas W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0 Puebla W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
05 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2 Club America W
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 0 UNAM Pumas W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
30 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
0 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
15 Aug
Pachuca W
3 : 1 UNAM Pumas W
09 Aug
Necaxa W
1 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 44:13 | 42 |
| 2 | Monterrey W | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 39:8 | 40 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL W | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41:13 | 37 |
| 4 | Pachuca W | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 46:15 | 36 |
| 5 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 27:13 | 34 |
| 6 | Toluca W | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38:26 | 33 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul W | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38:19 | 31 |
| 8 | Juarez W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 31:23 | 28 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:29 | 22 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis W | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:32 | 21 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC W | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:27 | 18 |
| 13 | Club Leon W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 32:35 | 16 |
| 14 | Atlas W | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22:40 | 12 |
| 15 | Puebla W | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11:46 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna W | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14:29 | 9 |
| 17 | Queretaro W | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11:46 | 5 |
| 18 | Necaxa W | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11:62 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
