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Stadium Background

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski vs LKS Lagow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Orlik K.
14' Event
Imiela A.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Lis A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2021/2022 game between Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski and LKS Lagow finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
6%
Draws
4%
LKS Lagow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and LKS Lagow come out ahead of Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski Clean Sheet 13%
LKS Lagow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski LKS Lagow
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 6 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.75 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski vs LKS Lagow
3:2
Nov 14, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
LKS Lagow vs Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski Compare

Top Goalscorer Lis A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orzechowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

LKS Lagow Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlik K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski 84 / 100
LKS Lagow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski LKS Lagow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

LKS Lagow has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: LKS Lagow registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski VS LKS Lagow
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski

(Home)
22 Feb
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
2 : 3
Krasnystaw
14 Feb
Lewart Lubartow
2 : 4
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
12 Feb
KS Karpaty Krosno
2 : 1
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
08 Feb
Jaroslaw
2 : 1
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
01 Feb
Hetman Zamosc
0 : 3
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
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LKS Lagow

(Away)
03 Feb
LKS Lagow
5 : 2
Orleta Kielce
17 Jun
KS Wieczysta Krakow
3 : 0
LKS Lagow
10 Jun
LKS Lagow
0 : 3
Chelmianka Chelm
03 Jun
Unia Tarnow
3 : 0
LKS Lagow
27 May
LKS Lagow
0 : 3
Wiazownica
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siarka Tarnobrzeg34226668:2972
2Chelmianka Chelm34206855:3166
3LKS Lagow34206859:3166
4Avia Swidnik34205967:3265
5Podhale Nowy Targ34178965:4459
6Cracovia II341771067:3858
7Stal Stalowa Wola341561348:3851
8Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341491141:3951
9Unia Tarnow3412121050:4848
10Wisloka Debica3412121051:5948
11Orleta Radzyn3412101255:5246
12Czarni Polaniec341181547:6341
13Sokol Sieniawa341181538:6241
14Biala Podlaska349121341:4939
15Sandomierz34862042:6830
16Korona Rzeszow34781942:7429
17Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski34562337:6921
18Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska34452530:7717
Promotion - Division 2 2022/2023 (Main)