Sport Picks
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Suwalki
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Tomaszow Mazowiecki and Suwalki finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suwalki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Suwalki carry the better recent record into this one.
- Suwalki are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Suwalki here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | Suwalki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare
Suwalki Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tomaszow Mazowiecki scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Suwalki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Tomaszow Mazowiecki stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |