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Tomayapo vs Bolivar Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Tomayapo Logo

Tomayapo

1 - 2
FT
Bolivar Logo

Bolivar

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Velasquez J.
Assist: Sagredo J.
35'
Velasquez J.
60' Event
Guerra J.
Assist: Ruan Costa
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bolivar in this Division Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bolivar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Tomayapo
20%
Draws
61%
Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bolivar lately — more wins on the board than Tomayapo.
  • Bolivar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bolivar have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 10%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomayapo Bolivar
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.96 2.28
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Bolivar
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Tomayapo
6:0
Oct 28, 2025 Copa Pacena
Bolivar vs Tomayapo
5:1
Oct 22, 2025 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Bolivar
2:7
Aug 10, 2025 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Tomayapo
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomayapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Velasquez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asprilla D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomayapo 10 / 100
Bolivar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomayapo Bolivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolivar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Tomayapo scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Bolivar let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Tomayapo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomayapo VS Bolivar
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomayapo

(Home)
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Real Oruro
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1
Tomayapo
17 Sept
Tomayapo
0 : 2
Oriente Petrolero
14 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 2
Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

Bolivar

(Away)
01 Oct
Bolivar
3 : 2
GV San Jose
27 Sept
Bolivar
3 : 0
Blooming
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1
Bolivar
18 Sept
Bolivar
4 : 2
GV San Jose
14 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 2
Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 20 13 6 1 47:13 45
2 Bolivar 20 14 3 3 54:22 45
3 The Strongest 20 12 6 2 39:22 42
4 Real Potosi 20 8 8 4 27:14 32
5 Oriente Petrolero 20 9 3 8 36:27 30
6 Aurora 20 7 9 4 31:27 30
7 Guabira 20 8 5 7 32:39 29
8 Blooming 20 6 9 5 30:22 27
9 Nacional Potosi 20 8 3 9 30:28 27
10 Independiente 20 7 4 9 27:35 25
11 Real Oruro 20 6 3 11 32:50 21
12 Academia del Balompie 20 6 2 12 31:45 20
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 20 6 2 12 21:40 20
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 20 5 3 12 26:39 18
15 Tomayapo 20 4 4 12 15:39 16
16 GV San Jose 20 2 8 10 21:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)