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Tombense vs Desportiva Ferroviaria

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Luiz Felipe
22' Event
Rafael Silva

AI Match Summary

Tombense in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tombense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tombense
28%
Draws
22%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tombense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria have won more games recently than Tombense.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Tombense taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tombense Clean Sheet 20%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tombense Desportiva Ferroviaria
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Tombense vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
2:0
Jan 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Tombense vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tombense Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Felipe
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Desportiva Ferroviaria Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tombense 49 / 100
Desportiva Ferroviaria 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tombense Desportiva Ferroviaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tombense's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Desportiva Ferroviaria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Tombense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tombense VS Desportiva Ferroviaria
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tombense

(Home)
27 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
CRAC
21 Jun
CRAC
1 : 0
Tombense
14 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
30 May
Porto-BA
1 : 3
Tombense
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
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Desportiva Ferroviaria

(Away)
05 Mar
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Sport Recife
27 Feb
Vilavelhense
1 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
22 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
17 Feb
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
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