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Tomori Berat vs Kastrioti

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Dosseh K. E.
36' Event
Kapllani D.
88' Event
Arapi Z.

AI Match Summary

Kastrioti in this Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kastrioti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tomori Berat
15%
Draws
49%
Kastrioti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kastrioti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kastrioti have won more games recently than Tomori Berat.
  • Model gives Kastrioti a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kastrioti have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 20%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomori Berat Kastrioti
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 13
Draws 2 3
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 0.57 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Kastrioti
0:3
Dec 10, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Tomori Berat
3:1
Sep 23, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Kastrioti
1:0
May 30, 2021 Abissnet Superiore
Kastrioti vs Tomori Berat
2:1
Mar 3, 2013 Abissnet Superiore
Tomori Berat vs Kastrioti
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomori Berat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Kastrioti Compare

Top Goalscorer Dosseh K. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kapllani D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomori Berat 10 / 100
Kastrioti 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomori Berat Kastrioti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kastrioti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kastrioti conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Kastrioti has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tomori Berat scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kastrioti
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomori Berat

(Home)
18 Nov
Flamurtari
9 : 0
Tomori Berat
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2
Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2
Lushnja
04 May
AF Elbasani
5 : 0
Tomori Berat
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Kastrioti

(Away)
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
07 May
Pogradeci
3 : 0
Kastrioti
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
19 Apr
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 0
Kastrioti
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AF Elbasani 33 24 7 2 76:32 79
2 Bylis 33 22 5 6 55:31 71
3 Flamurtari 33 16 10 7 46:29 58
4 Vora 33 15 5 13 61:50 50
5 Apolonia Fier 33 12 10 11 44:31 46
6 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 8 13 42:38 44
7 Kastrioti 33 10 10 13 43:47 40
8 Burreli 33 12 4 17 28:43 40
9 Lushnja 33 10 8 15 38:53 38
10 Besa Kavaje 33 10 8 15 34:47 38
11 Luzi 33 9 4 20 41:56 31
12 Tomori Berat 33 4 5 24 21:72 17
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 (Relegation)