Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tondela vs FC Madalena

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Tondela
11%
Draws
9%
FC Madalena
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Tondela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tondela lately — more wins on the board than FC Madalena.
  • Win probability leans Tondela's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tondela Clean Sheet 18%
FC Madalena Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tondela FC Madalena
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Tondela vs FC Madalena
1:1
Jan 8, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
FC Madalena vs Tondela
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tondela 76 / 100
FC Madalena 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tondela FC Madalena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Madalena let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Tondela's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tondela remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tondela VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tondela

(Home)
29 Jul
Tondela
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
25 Jul
Tondela
1 : 2
Beira Mar
25 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0
Tondela
22 Jul
Tondela
2 : 1
Academica
19 Jul
Tondela
1 : 1
Nacional
Page 1 of 7

FC Madalena

(Away)
08 Sept
FC Madalena
0 : 2
Estrela Vendas Novas
11 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
FC Madalena
27 Sept
FC Barreirense
3 : 0
FC Madalena
29 Apr
FC Madalena
3 : 2
Aliados Lordelo
22 Apr
Tondela
1 : 1
FC Madalena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tondela30196549:2263
2SC Espinho30195650:3262
3Operario30157834:2652
4Boavista301551043:3150
5Amarante FC301310748:3049
6Sao Joao de Ver301541143:4649
7Gondomar301351227:3144
8Cinfaes301271135:4043
9Coimbroes30915630:3142
10Anadia301171245:4240
11Padroense301161347:5039
12Aliados Lordelo301071341:4037
13Oliv. Bairro30771634:5028
14SC Angrense30581736:4923
15Paredes30651930:5023
16FC Madalena30561932:5421
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)