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Topolite vs Ludogorets III

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

Ludogorets III in this Third League - North-East 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Topolite
15%
Draws
65%
Ludogorets III
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ludogorets III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ludogorets III lately — more wins on the board than Topolite.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Ludogorets III taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Topolite Clean Sheet 10%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Topolite Ludogorets III
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 25
Draws 2 3
Losses 22 3
Goals Scored 0.97 3.65
Goals Conceded 2.69 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Ludogorets III
2:7
Feb 13, 2021 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Topolite
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Topolite 10 / 100
Ludogorets III 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Topolite Ludogorets III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets III Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Topolite scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ludogorets III conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Topolite stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ludogorets III
0 Goals Scored 3.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Topolite

(Home)
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 2
Topolite
16 May
Topolite
2 : 7
Ludogorets III
09 May
Topolite
1 : 3
Dunav Ruse
05 May
Topolite
1 : 4
Chernolomets
01 May
Svetkavitsa
5 : 0
Topolite
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Ludogorets III

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Varna 28 22 5 1 81:11 71
2 Chernomorets Balchik 28 19 3 6 72:28 60
3 Septemvri Tervel 28 18 4 6 58:23 58
4 Svetkavitsa 28 18 1 9 67:25 55
5 Dunav Ruse 28 16 5 7 60:33 53
6 Ludogorets III 28 15 6 7 75:29 51
7 Chernolomets 28 15 5 8 60:33 50
8 Shumen 2007 28 16 2 10 67:36 50
9 Ustrem Donchevo 28 14 2 12 62:48 44
10 Dorostol 28 12 2 14 33:50 38
11 Sportist Toshevo 28 8 2 18 35:85 26
12 Botev Novi Pazar 28 6 3 19 24:66 21
13 Topolite 28 5 1 22 25:75 16
14 FK Riltzi 28 2 1 25 22:126 7
15 Kubrat 28 2 2 24 9:82 8
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