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Toronto FC II vs Detroit City

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Legacy Center Sports Complex, Brighton, MI
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Smith D.
18' Event
Morris B.
(Penalty)
25' Event
Bryant M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Toronto FC II and Detroit City finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Detroit City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Toronto FC II
33%
Draws
40%
Detroit City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Detroit City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Detroit City come out ahead of Toronto FC II on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Detroit City taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%
Detroit City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC II Detroit City
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 13
Draws 0 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Toronto FC II vs Detroit City
0:2
Feb 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Toronto FC II vs Detroit City
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Detroit City Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bryant M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC II 26 / 100
Detroit City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC II Detroit City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Toronto FC II found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Detroit City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Toronto FC II has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC II VS Detroit City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Toronto FC II

(Home)
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2
Toronto FC II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0
Toronto FC II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0
Toronto FC II
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Detroit City

(Away)
18 Jul
Detroit City
2 : 0
Indy Eleven
11 Jul
Fort Wayne
1 : 2
Detroit City
03 Jul
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2
Detroit City
20 Jun
Detroit City
0 : 1
Louisville City
13 Jun
Sporting Jax
2 : 6
Detroit City
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