Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati

USA USA

MLS BMO Field
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Kuscevic B.
45'
Osorio J.
58'
Ramirez Leon B. J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Toronto FC
11%
Draws
80%
FC Cincinnati
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Cincinnati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Cincinnati have won more games recently than Toronto FC.
  • Model gives FC Cincinnati a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 10%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.25 3.25
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 MLS
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC
0:1
May 14, 2025 MLS
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC
2:0
May 25, 2024 MLS
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FC Cincinnati Compare

Top Goalscorer Mboma K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC 10 / 100
FC Cincinnati 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC FC Cincinnati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

FC Cincinnati's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Toronto FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC VS FC Cincinnati
1.25 Goals Scored 3.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Los Angeles FC1683527:1727
4Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
5FC Dallas1574430:2225
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1655622:2520
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC15113132:1136
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United15321014:2411
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307