Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Torpedo Moscow vs Kamaz

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Arena Khimki, Khimki
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Curic M.
(Penalty)
30'
Sub
Zamerets E. In: Anisimov A.
Out: Zamerets E.
45'
Bagiev S.

AI Match Summary

Torpedo Moscow in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torpedo Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Torpedo Moscow
20%
Draws
40%
Kamaz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Torpedo Moscow have won more games recently than Kamaz.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Torpedo Moscow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Kamaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Moscow Kamaz
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.68 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Kamaz
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 FNL
Kamaz vs Torpedo Moscow
1:1
May 24, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Kamaz
1:1
Sep 25, 2024 Russian Cup
Kamaz vs Torpedo Moscow
1:2
Aug 12, 2024 FNL
Kamaz vs Torpedo Moscow
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torpedo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Shitov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Kamaz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Moscow 68 / 100
Kamaz 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Moscow Kamaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torpedo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Moscow scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Kamaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Torpedo Moscow has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Torpedo Moscow VS Kamaz
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torpedo Moscow

(Home)
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
04 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 4
Torpedo Moscow
30 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
0 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
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Kamaz

(Away)
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
09 Sept
Kirov
1 : 0
Kamaz
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
29 Aug
Leningradets
0 : 1
Kamaz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 34 19 11 4 58:28 68
2 Fakel Voronezh 34 20 8 6 44:22 68
3 Ural 34 18 7 9 51:31 61
4 R. Volgograd 34 15 11 8 47:26 56
5 Kamaz 34 12 13 9 46:34 49
6 Yenisey 34 13 10 11 37:35 49
7 S. Kostroma 34 12 13 9 46:41 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 34 11 15 8 34:28 48
9 Torpedo Moscow 34 12 10 12 37:39 46
10 Chelyabinsk 34 10 14 10 42:40 44
11 Neftekhimik 34 10 13 11 40:41 43
12 SKA Khabarovsk 34 10 12 12 37:45 42
13 Arsenal Tula 34 8 15 11 42:44 39
14 Ulyanovsk 34 9 10 15 35:48 37
15 Ufa 34 9 10 15 32:40 37
16 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 34 9 8 17 37:49 35
17 Saratov 34 5 11 18 16:44 26
18 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 34 5 7 22 30:76 22
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