Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Torpedo Moscow vs SKA Khabarovsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Arena Khimki, Khimki
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Berkovsky I.
25'
28'
Glotov S.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2025/2026 game between Torpedo Moscow and SKA Khabarovsk finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torpedo Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Torpedo Moscow
6%
Draws
4%
SKA Khabarovsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Torpedo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torpedo Moscow come out ahead of SKA Khabarovsk on wins alone.
  • Model gives Torpedo Moscow a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Moscow SKA Khabarovsk
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs SKA Khabarovsk
4:1
Aug 3, 2025 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Torpedo Moscow
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Torpedo Moscow
2:2
Jul 14, 2024 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs SKA Khabarovsk
4:0
Mar 18, 2024 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Torpedo Moscow
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torpedo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Berkovsky I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Utkin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

SKA Khabarovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliev K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Moscow 95 / 100
SKA Khabarovsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Moscow SKA Khabarovsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Moscow scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: SKA Khabarovsk conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Torpedo Moscow stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torpedo Moscow VS SKA Khabarovsk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Torpedo Moscow

(Home)
19 Jul
Torpedo Moscow
3 : 1
Ulyanovsk
13 Jul
Ural
0 : 1
Torpedo Moscow
03 Jul
PFC Sochi
0 : 3
Torpedo Moscow
27 Jun
Dynamo Moscow
0 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
22 Jun
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 0
Ulyanovsk
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SKA Khabarovsk

(Away)
20 Jul
R. Volgograd
1 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
13 Jul
Chelyabinsk
3 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
04 Jul
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 2
Veles Moscow
30 Jun
PFC Sochi
4 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
16 May
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 0
Neftekhimik
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rodina Moscow341911458:2868
2Fakel Voronezh34208644:2268
3Ural34187951:3161
4R. Volgograd341511847:2656
5Kamaz341213946:3449
6Yenisey3413101137:3549
7S. Kostroma341213946:4149
8Shinnik Yaroslavl341115834:2848
9Torpedo Moscow3412101237:3946
10Chelyabinsk3410141042:4044
11Neftekhimik3410131140:4143
12SKA Khabarovsk3410121237:4542
13Arsenal Tula348151142:4439
14Ulyanovsk349101535:4837
15Ufa349101532:4037
16Chernomorets Novorossijsk34981737:4935
17Saratov345111816:4426
18FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye34572230:7622
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)