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Torre Fuerte vs Universidad Crucena

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Torre Fuerte and Universidad Crucena finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torre Fuerte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Torre Fuerte
6%
Draws
4%
Universidad Crucena
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Torre Fuerte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Torre Fuerte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Torre Fuerte's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Torre Fuerte have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Torre Fuerte Clean Sheet 68%
Universidad Crucena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torre Fuerte Universidad Crucena
Matches Played 32 18
Wins 15 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs Universidad Crucena
2:0
May 14, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universidad Crucena vs Torre Fuerte
0:3
Sep 26, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universidad Crucena vs Torre Fuerte
1:3
Sep 8, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs Universidad Crucena
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torre Fuerte 95 / 100
Universidad Crucena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torre Fuerte Universidad Crucena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universidad Crucena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 18 matches.

Torre Fuerte's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Torre Fuerte has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Torre Fuerte VS Universidad Crucena
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Torre Fuerte

(Home)
26 Oct
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Torre Fuerte
11 Oct
Torre Fuerte
1 : 3
1 de Mayo
28 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 0
Torre Fuerte
21 Sept
Torre Fuerte
2 : 1
Nacional Sucre
14 Sept
Torre Fuerte
4 : 2
Nueva Cliza
Page 1 of 7

Universidad Crucena

(Away)
16 Jul
Universidad Crucena
2 : 2
River 66
02 Jul
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Universidad Crucena
25 Jun
Universidad Crucena
0 : 3
24 de Septiembre
21 Jun
Torre Fuerte
2 : 0
Universidad Crucena
18 Jun
River 66
1 : 2
Universidad Crucena
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario Beni642011:314
2San Lorenzo del Beni62316:89
3Alianza Beni61324:46
4Los Almendros60245:112
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fancesa853019:418
2Nacional Sucre834112:913
3Deportivo Aleman841312:1113
4Atletico Sucre832317:1511
5Independiente Recreo80086:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo852117:517
2Pasion Celeste834112:713
3Real Mizque83418:713
4Enrique Happ824212:710
5Israel University80084:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fatic853024:718
2Academia del Balompie833224:912
3Hiska Nacional833212:1012
4Chaco Petrolero833215:1412
5Huayna Potosi Palcoco80087:42-2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose862023:720
2Sur-Car841317:1513
3Real Oruro833220:912
4Em Huanuni822415:128
5CM Poopo81074:363
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Pando22007:26
2Real Mapajo20022:70
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi650112:215
2Stormers SL632110:211
3Rosario Central62137:67
4Huracan Tupiza60150:191
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz861125:819
2Torre Fuerte850315:715
324 de Septiembre833214:1212
4River 6681259:225
5Universidad Crucena81256:205
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija851216:816
2Municipalidad de Yacuiba842214:1414
3Atletico Bermejo841312:713
4Ciclon81434:87
5Garcia Agreda80445:144
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams