Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Torremolinos vs AD Ceuta

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Matiti I.

AI Match Summary

Torremolinos in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torremolinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Torremolinos
20%
Draws
16%
AD Ceuta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torremolinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Torremolinos at 1.24 per game, AD Ceuta at 1.1.
  • Torremolinos are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Torremolinos Clean Sheet 18%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torremolinos AD Ceuta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Torremolinos vs AD Ceuta
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
AD Ceuta vs Torremolinos
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torremolinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Matiti I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

AD Ceuta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torremolinos 76 / 100
AD Ceuta 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torremolinos AD Ceuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torremolinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Torremolinos found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: AD Ceuta registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torremolinos VS AD Ceuta
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torremolinos

(Home)
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
13 Sept
Torremolinos
3 : 4
Zaragoza
05 Sept
Real Madrid B
2 : 0
Torremolinos
30 Aug
Atl. Madrid B
2 : 2
Torremolinos
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
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AD Ceuta

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1
Valladolid
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
AD Ceuta
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Las Palmas
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