Sport Picks

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Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd

England England

Premier League Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tottenham host Newcastle Utd in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Tottenham have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Newcastle Utd's 1.5 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Newcastle Utd slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.13, favoring Newcastle Utd. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tottenham
20%
Draws
38%
Newcastle Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tottenham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Newcastle Utd have won more games recently than Tottenham.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Tottenham taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tottenham Clean Sheet 20%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tottenham Newcastle Utd
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Premier League
Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Tottenham
2:2
Oct 29, 2025 EFL Cup
Newcastle Utd vs Tottenham
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly
Newcastle Utd vs Tottenham
1:1
Jan 4, 2025 Premier League
Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tottenham 42 / 100
Newcastle Utd 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tottenham Newcastle Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tottenham scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Newcastle Utd conceded in 88% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Tottenham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tottenham VS Newcastle Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tottenham

(Home)
26 Jul
Auckland FC
0 : 2
Tottenham
22 Jul
Tottenham
1 : 0
Milton Keynes Dons
24 May
Tottenham
1 : 0
Everton
19 May
Chelsea
2 : 1
Tottenham
11 May
Tottenham
1 : 1
Leeds
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Newcastle Utd

(Away)
25 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 1
Newcastle Utd
18 Jul
Newcastle Utd
3 : 0
Darlington FC
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd
17 May
Newcastle Utd
3 : 1
West Ham
10 May
Nottingham
1 : 1
Newcastle Utd
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal00000:00
2Aston Villa00000:00
3Chelsea00000:00
4Everton00000:00
5Fulham00000:00
6Liverpool00000:00
7Manchester City00000:00
8Manchester United00000:00
9Newcastle Utd00000:00
10Sunderland00000:00
11Tottenham00000:00
12Coventry00000:00
13Crystal Palace00000:00
14Hull City00000:00
15Ipswich00000:00
16Bournemouth00000:00
17Brighton00000:00
18Leeds00000:00
19Nottingham00000:00
20Brentford00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)