Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd

England England

Premier League Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tottenham host Newcastle Utd in the Premier League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Tottenham have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Newcastle Utd's 1.5 scored and 2.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Newcastle Utd slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.50, favoring Newcastle Utd. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tottenham
39%
Draws
31%
Newcastle Utd
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Newcastle Utd have won more games recently than Tottenham.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tottenham Clean Sheet 16%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tottenham Newcastle Utd
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Premier League
Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Tottenham
2:2
Oct 29, 2025 EFL Cup
Newcastle Utd vs Tottenham
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly
Newcastle Utd vs Tottenham
1:1
Jan 4, 2025 Premier League
Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tottenham 30 / 100
Newcastle Utd 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tottenham Newcastle Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tottenham scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Newcastle Utd conceded in 88% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Tottenham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tottenham VS Newcastle Utd
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal00000:00
2Aston Villa00000:00
3Chelsea00000:00
4Everton00000:00
5Fulham00000:00
6Liverpool00000:00
7Manchester City00000:00
8Manchester United00000:00
9Newcastle Utd00000:00
10Sunderland00000:00
11Tottenham00000:00
12Coventry00000:00
13Crystal Palace00000:00
14Hull City00000:00
15Ipswich00000:00
16Bournemouth00000:00
17Brighton00000:00
18Leeds00000:00
19Nottingham00000:00
20Brentford00000:00