Sport Picks
Tottenham vs Aston Villa
England
Premier League Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London 
AI Match Summary
Tottenham host Aston Villa in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Tottenham at 1.36 goals for, 1.57 against; Aston Villa at 1.93 for, 1.43 against. Past meetings favor Aston Villa slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.13, favoring Aston Villa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aston Villa carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Tottenham taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Aston Villa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tottenham | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tottenham found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Aston Villa conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Tottenham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tottenham
(Home)Aston Villa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Hull City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 7 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 5 | Brentford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 7 | Newcastle Utd | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 8 | Everton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 9 | Leeds | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 10 | Brighton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 11 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 4 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | 1 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | 1 |
| 19 | Fulham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 0 |
| 20 | Coventry | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | 0 |
