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Tottenham vs Charlton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Cup Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sub
Sichenje C. In: McNamara D.
Out: Sichenje C.
15'
Sub
Koumetio B. In: Jones L.
Out: Koumetio B.
24'
Bergvall L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. This leg finished 5-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Tottenham
20%
Draws
7%
Charlton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tottenham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Charlton haven't matched Tottenham's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tottenham a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Tottenham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tottenham, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tottenham here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Tottenham Clean Sheet 68%
Charlton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tottenham Charlton
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.48 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 EFL Cup
Tottenham vs Charlton
5:1
Jan 9, 2011 FA Cup
Tottenham vs Charlton
3:0
May 7, 2007 Premier League
Charlton vs Tottenham
0:2
Dec 9, 2006 Premier League
Tottenham vs Charlton
5:1
Feb 5, 2006 Premier League
Tottenham vs Charlton
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tottenham Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solanke D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Charlton Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tottenham 95 / 100
Charlton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tottenham Charlton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tottenham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 11:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Tottenham scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Charlton has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Tottenham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tottenham VS Charlton
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tottenham

(Home)
31 Oct
Tottenham
2 : 0
Crystal Palace
24 Oct
Chelsea
0 : 2
Tottenham
19 Oct
Tottenham
3 : 1
Coventry
10 Oct
Manchester United
1 : 1
Tottenham
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 6

Charlton

(Away)
03 Nov
Charlton
0 : 1
Bolton
31 Oct
Middlesbrough
3 : 0
Charlton
24 Oct
Charlton
1 : 3
Norwich
17 Oct
Watford
2 : 0
Charlton
13 Oct
Burnley
2 : 2
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town 2
Arsenal 1
Everton 3
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Brighton 2
Bradford City 2
Peterborough 0
Fulham 0
Crystal Palace 1
Sunderland 3
Brentford 2
Liverpool 2
Chelsea 1
Bournemouth 3
Aston Villa 0
Quarter-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Everton -
Manchester City -
Bradford City -
Crystal Palace -
Sunderland -
Liverpool -
Bournemouth -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -