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Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
van de Ven M.
13'
Gonzalez N.
62' Event
Elanga A.
Assist: Dedic A.

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newcastle Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Tottenham
15%
Draws
20%
Newcastle Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tottenham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Tottenham have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Tottenham taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Tottenham Clean Sheet 18%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tottenham Newcastle Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd
0:2
Feb 10, 2026 Premier League
Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Tottenham
2:2
Oct 29, 2025 EFL Cup
Newcastle Utd vs Tottenham
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly
Newcastle Utd vs Tottenham
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tottenham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Newcastle Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Elanga A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wissa Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tottenham 85 / 100
Newcastle Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tottenham Newcastle Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tottenham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Tottenham found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Tottenham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tottenham VS Newcastle Utd
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tottenham

(Home)
31 Oct
Tottenham
2 : 0
Crystal Palace
24 Oct
Chelsea
0 : 2
Tottenham
19 Oct
Tottenham
3 : 1
Coventry
10 Oct
Manchester United
1 : 1
Tottenham
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3
Aston Villa
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Newcastle Utd

(Away)
02 Nov
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1
Everton
29 Oct
Everton
3 : 1
Newcastle Utd
25 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2
Newcastle Utd
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1
Aston Villa
12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 9 8 0 1 14:5 24
2 Manchester City 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
3 Brighton 9 6 1 2 24:7 19
4 Chelsea 9 5 1 3 19:15 16
5 Liverpool 9 4 3 2 11:9 15
6 Brentford 9 3 5 1 16:9 14
7 Everton 9 3 4 2 9:9 13
8 Bournemouth 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Tottenham 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
10 Aston Villa 9 3 3 3 10:13 12
11 Hull City 9 2 5 2 11:10 11
12 Leeds 9 2 5 2 9:8 11
13 Newcastle Utd 9 3 2 4 12:15 11
14 Ipswich 9 3 2 4 14:18 11
15 Fulham 9 2 3 4 9:11 9
16 Coventry 9 3 0 6 9:16 9
17 Manchester United 9 1 4 4 10:15 7
18 Crystal Palace 9 2 1 6 9:21 7
19 Nottingham 9 1 3 5 6:12 6
20 Sunderland 9 1 2 6 7:17 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)