Sport Picks
Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd
England
Premier League Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London 
Match Events
3'
3'
van de Ven M.
13'
13'
Gonzalez N.
62'
62'
Elanga A.
Assist: Dedic A.
AI Match Summary
Newcastle Utd in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newcastle Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newcastle Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Newcastle Utd have won more games recently than Tottenham.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Tottenham taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Tottenham Clean Sheet 16%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tottenham | Newcastle Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd
0:2
Feb 10, 2026 Premier League
Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Tottenham
2:2
Oct 29, 2025 EFL Cup
Newcastle Utd vs Tottenham
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly
Newcastle Utd vs Tottenham
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tottenham Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Newcastle Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Elanga A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wissa Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tottenham 41 / 100
Newcastle Utd 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tottenham Newcastle Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Tottenham found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Tottenham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tottenham VS Newcastle Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tottenham
(Home) 15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1 Tottenham
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0 Everton
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0 Tottenham
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
26 Aug
Tottenham
5 : 1 Charlton
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0 Everton
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
26 Aug
Tottenham
5 : 1 Charlton
16 Aug
Tottenham
2 : 2 Hoffenheim
15 Aug
Tottenham
3 : 0 Hoffenheim
Page 1 of 4
Newcastle Utd
(Away) 14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
26 Aug
Newcastle Utd
3 : 2 West Brom
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
08 Aug
Valencia
1 : 2 Newcastle Utd
29 Jul
Bristol City
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Hull City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 5 | Brighton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 7 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottingham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:5 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
| 20 | Coventry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
