Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tranmere vs Oldham

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Prenton Park, Birkenhead
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Fondop-Talum M.
Assist: Monthe M.
34'
Sub
Negru S. In: McGowan A.
Out: Negru S.
38'
Lowe J.

AI Match Summary

The League Two 2025/2026 game between Tranmere and Oldham finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oldham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tranmere
28%
Draws
22%
Oldham
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tranmere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Oldham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tranmere's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 68%
Oldham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tranmere Oldham
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 League Two
Tranmere vs Oldham
1:3
Dec 20, 2025 League Two
Oldham vs Tranmere
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 FA Cup
Tranmere vs Oldham
1:2
Apr 30, 2022 League Two
Tranmere vs Oldham
2:0
Dec 7, 2021 League Two
Oldham vs Tranmere
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tranmere Compare

Top Goalscorer Obiero Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Oldham Compare

Top Goalscorer Fondop-Talum M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kavanagh C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tranmere 59 / 100
Oldham 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tranmere Oldham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tranmere scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Oldham has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Tranmere remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tranmere VS Oldham
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tranmere

(Home)
18 Jul
Tranmere
2 : 0
Blackpool
02 May
Tranmere
1 : 1
Grimsby
25 Apr
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 0
Tranmere
21 Apr
Cheltenham
1 : 3
Tranmere
18 Apr
Tranmere
1 : 2
Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Oldham

(Away)
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1
Stockport County
24 Jul
Huddersfield
3 : 1
Oldham
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3
Bolton
02 May
Oldham
3 : 0
Accrington
25 Apr
Newport
3 : 2
Oldham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)