Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trasandino vs Melipilla

Chile Chile

Segunda Division 2025 Estadio Regional de Los Andes, Los Andes
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Vargas L.
21'
Delgado J.
33' Event
Becica A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2025 game between Trasandino and Melipilla finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melipilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Trasandino
33%
Draws
27%
Melipilla
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Trasandino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Trasandino haven't matched Melipilla's recent run of results.
  • Trasandino are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Melipilla have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Trasandino Clean Sheet 11%
Melipilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trasandino Melipilla
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs Melipilla
2:4
Jun 1, 2025 Segunda Division
Melipilla vs Trasandino
4:0
Jul 14, 2024 Segunda Division
Melipilla vs Trasandino
3:1
Mar 2, 2024 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs Melipilla
0:4
Jul 8, 2023 Segunda Division
Melipilla vs Trasandino
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trasandino Compare

Top Goalscorer Dubo Vergara R. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Melipilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Becica A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vargas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trasandino 38 / 100
Melipilla 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trasandino Melipilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Trasandino scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Melipilla conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Trasandino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trasandino VS Melipilla
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Trasandino

(Home)
26 Jul
General Velasquez
0 : 0
Trasandino
11 Jul
Trasandino
1 : 2
Brujas Salamanca
05 Jul
Real San Joaquin
1 : 2
Trasandino
20 Jun
Trasandino
5 : 1
Santiago City
08 Jun
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 1
Trasandino
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Melipilla

(Away)
28 Nov
Santiago City
3 : 4
Melipilla
23 Nov
Melipilla
1 : 1
Real San Joaquin
08 Nov
Trasandino
2 : 4
Melipilla
26 Oct
Melipilla
0 : 1
San Antonio Unido
12 Oct
Brujas Salamanca
2 : 2
Melipilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Puerto Montt24166254:1754
2Linares Unido24136539:2745
3Brujas Salamanca24116733:2739
4Osorno24116749:3436
5Provincial Ovalle24106824:2136
6Concon National241031144:3633
7General Velasquez2488829:3632
8Trasandino24911434:4228
9Real San Joaquin24641422:4322
10Santiago City24551435:5820
11Deportes Rengo24531622:5218
12Melipilla24124842:33-14
13San Antonio Unido24941148:49-27
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