Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trasandino vs Real San Joaquin

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Regional de Los Andes
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trasandino play Real San Joaquin in the Segunda Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Trasandino averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Real San Joaquin averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Trasandino won 1, Real San Joaquin won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Trasandino and 1.56 for Real San Joaquin. This points to a Trasandino double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Trasandino
19%
Draws
37%
Real San Joaquin
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Trasandino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Trasandino picked up more points recently compared to Real San Joaquin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Trasandino Clean Sheet 15%
Real San Joaquin Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trasandino Real San Joaquin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Trasandino
1:2
May 2, 2026 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs Real San Joaquin
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs Real San Joaquin
1:2
May 4, 2025 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Trasandino
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs Real San Joaquin
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trasandino 43 / 100
Real San Joaquin 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trasandino Real San Joaquin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Trasandino or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Trasandino attacking → ← attacking Real San Joaquin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trasandino scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Real San Joaquin let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Trasandino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Real San Joaquin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 28
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brujas Salamanca1257011:522
2Concon National1263316:1021
3Santiago City1255218:1920
4Trasandino1253419:1718
5Real San Joaquin1134415:1213
6Atletico Colina1123610:139
7Provincial Ovalle1213811:246
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Osorno1165013:323
2Colchagua CD1164115:722
3Linares Unido1151512:1216
4General Velasquez114169:1513
5Lota Schwager113359:1112
6Deportes Rengo1132610:1511
7S. Morning122469:1410