Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tre Fiori vs La Fiorita

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano San Marino Stadium, Serravalle
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Benedettini F.
41' Event
Olcese E.
Assist: Felipe J.
52' Event
Olcese E.

AI Match Summary

La Fiorita in this Coppa Titano tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tre Fiori
33%
Draws
40%
La Fiorita
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: La Fiorita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tre Fiori have won more games recently than La Fiorita.
  • Win probability leans La Fiorita's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Tre Fiori have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor La Fiorita, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 17%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Fiori La Fiorita
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Coppa Titano
Tre Fiori vs La Fiorita
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs La Fiorita
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Tre Fiori
2:2
May 17, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Tre Fiori
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Tre Fiori
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tre Fiori Compare

Top Goalscorer Benedettini F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

La Fiorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Olcese E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barretta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Fiori 28 / 100
La Fiorita 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Fiori La Fiorita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tre Fiori scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

La Fiorita let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Away concern: La Fiorita has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tre Fiori VS La Fiorita
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tre Fiori

(Home)
29 Jul
Tre Fiori
1 : 3
Forli FC
14 Jul
Larne
2 : 1
Tre Fiori
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0 : 1
Larne
23 May
Tre Fiori
1 : 3
La Fiorita
26 Apr
Tre Fiori
1 : 1
SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6

La Fiorita

(Away)
14 Jul
La Fiorita
0 : 2
UNA Strassen
07 Jul
UNA Strassen
1 : 0
La Fiorita
27 Jun
La Fiorita
1 : 1
Vardar
23 May
Tre Fiori
1 : 3
La Fiorita
16 May
Virtus
2 : 1
La Fiorita
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus-
TBD-
Cailungo2
AC Libertas3
San Giovanni3
SP Cosmos4
Tre Fiori4
SS Pennarossa1
Tre Penne5
SP Domagnano2
Fiorentino2
Juvenes/Dogana5
SS Murata3
SC Faetano1
Folgore0
La Fiorita1
Quarter-finals
Virtus6
AC Libertas1
SP Cosmos1
Tre Fiori7
Tre Penne1
Juvenes/Dogana2
SS Murata2
La Fiorita4
Semi-finals
Virtus0
Tre Fiori1
Juvenes/Dogana1
La Fiorita2
Final
Tre Fiori1
La Fiorita3