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Tre Penne vs Juvenes/Dogana

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Borghini G.
83' Event
Errico S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Coppa Titano 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Tre Penne
15%
Draws
14%
Juvenes/Dogana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Juvenes/Dogana haven't matched Tre Penne's recent run of results.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Tre Penne taking it.
  • Tre Penne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tre Penne, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Penne Juvenes/Dogana
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 24 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 2.38 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:0
Sep 8, 2026 Coppa Titano
Tre Penne vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs Juvenes/Dogana
3:1
Dec 10, 2025 Coppa Titano
Juvenes/Dogana vs Tre Penne
1:0
Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Titano
Tre Penne vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tre Penne Compare

Top Goalscorer Errico S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Juvenes/Dogana Compare

Top Goalscorer Borghini G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Penne 95 / 100
Juvenes/Dogana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Penne Juvenes/Dogana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tre Penne's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tre Penne stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Juvenes/Dogana has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tre Penne VS Juvenes/Dogana
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tre Penne

(Home)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
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Juvenes/Dogana

(Away)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Cailungo 2
AC Libertas 3
San Giovanni 3
SP Cosmos 4
Tre Fiori 4
SS Pennarossa 1
Tre Penne 5
SP Domagnano 2
Fiorentino 2
Juvenes/Dogana 5
SS Murata 3
SC Faetano 1
Folgore 0
La Fiorita 1
Quarter-finals
Virtus 6
AC Libertas 1
SP Cosmos 1
Tre Fiori 7
Tre Penne 1
Juvenes/Dogana 2
SS Murata 2
La Fiorita 4
Semi-finals
Virtus 0
Tre Fiori 1
Juvenes/Dogana 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Tre Fiori 1
La Fiorita 3