Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Bartoli T.
77'
77'
Ambrosini A.
Assist: Ceccaroli L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- SP Cosmos haven't matched Tre Penne's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Tre Penne taking it.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tre Penne | SP Cosmos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 24 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 2 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.59 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SP Cosmos
2:0
May 6, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Tre Penne
0:0
May 3, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SP Cosmos
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SP Cosmos
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Tre Penne
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tre Penne Compare
Top Goalscorer Bartoli T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
SP Cosmos Compare
Top Goalscorer Ambrosini A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tre Penne 77 / 100
SP Cosmos 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tre Penne SP Cosmos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tre Penne's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Tre Penne has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
SP Cosmos let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Tre Penne VS SP Cosmos
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tre Penne
(Home) 20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
16 May
Tre Penne
3 : 1 SP Domagnano
12 May
Tre Penne
0 : 1 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 4
SP Cosmos
(Away) 18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 SP Cosmos
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1 SP Cosmos
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1 AC Libertas
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 SP Cosmos
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1 SP Cosmos
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
03 May
Tre Penne
0 : 0 SP Cosmos
19 Apr
La Fiorita
3 : 1 SP Cosmos
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
