Sport Picks

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Treasure Beach vs Mount Pleasant

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Stadium East, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Flemmings J.
69' Event
Hardy D.
72' Event
Daley C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Treasure Beach and Mount Pleasant finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Treasure Beach
20%
Draws
40%
Mount Pleasant
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Treasure Beach haven't matched Mount Pleasant's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Treasure Beach a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Treasure Beach Clean Sheet 68%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treasure Beach Mount Pleasant
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 7 17
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.49
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Mount Pleasant
2:2
Feb 11, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Treasure Beach
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Mount Pleasant
0:0
Jan 21, 2024 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Treasure Beach
1:0
Dec 21, 2023 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Mount Pleasant
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treasure Beach Compare

Top Goalscorer Flemmings J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hardy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Daley C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treasure Beach 68 / 100
Mount Pleasant 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treasure Beach Mount Pleasant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treasure Beach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mount Pleasant let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Treasure Beach stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Treasure Beach scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Treasure Beach VS Mount Pleasant
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Treasure Beach

(Home)
20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Tivoli
14 Sept
Molynes United
3 : 2
Treasure Beach
06 May
Treasure Beach
0 : 2
Molynes United
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Treasure Beach
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2
Tivoli
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Mount Pleasant

(Away)
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1
Racing United
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
Tru-Juice FC
4 : 0
Mount Pleasant
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
03 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)