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Trefelin vs Ammanford Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Ynys Park, Cwmafan
Trefelin Logo

Trefelin

1 - 1
FT
Ammanford Town Logo

Ammanford Town

Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Ware L.
22'
Brock T.
36' Event
Griffiths E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Trefelin and Ammanford Town finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Trefelin
15%
Draws
51%
Ammanford Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ammanford Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trefelin come out ahead of Ammanford Town on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Trefelin's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 68%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trefelin Ammanford Town
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Cymru Premier
Trefelin vs Ammanford Town
1:1
Jan 23, 2026 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Trefelin
0:4
Sep 12, 2025 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Ammanford Town
2:0
Mar 21, 2025 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Trefelin
1:2
Nov 22, 2024 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Ammanford Town
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trefelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Caramella-Gerrard L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ammanford Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trefelin 68 / 100
Ammanford Town 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trefelin Ammanford Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trefelin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ammanford Town let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Trefelin scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Trefelin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trefelin VS Ammanford Town
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Trefelin

(Home)
06 Nov
Trefelin
1 : 2
Colwyn Bay
30 Oct
Barry Town
3 : 0
Trefelin
23 Oct
Trefelin
0 : 2
Flint Town
17 Oct
Trefelin
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
09 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 3
Trefelin
Page 1 of 6

Ammanford Town

(Away)
06 Nov
Ammanford Town
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
30 Oct
Ammanford Town
0 : 1
Haverfordwest
23 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Ammanford Town
17 Oct
Cwmaman Institute
2 : 4
Ammanford Town
09 Oct
Cambrian United
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 16 14 2 0 54:6 44
2 Connahs Q. 16 12 2 2 34:9 38
3 Penybont 15 11 3 1 32:11 36
4 Colwyn Bay 16 10 2 4 28:18 32
5 Airbus UK Broughton FC 16 10 0 6 34:24 30
6 Caernarfon 16 9 2 5 42:21 29
7 Barry Town 16 9 2 5 35:29 29
8 Cardiff Metropolitan University 16 7 4 5 29:23 25
9 Cambrian United 16 5 4 7 26:41 19
10 Llandudno FC 16 5 1 10 22:29 16
11 Haverfordwest 16 5 1 10 12:23 16
12 Briton Ferry 16 4 3 9 17:28 15
13 Flint Town 16 4 2 10 19:27 14
14 Ammanford Town 16 3 3 10 13:43 12
15 Trefelin 16 1 3 12 9:38 6
16 Holywell Town FC 15 0 2 13 16:52 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)