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Trefelin vs Cambrian United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Ynys Park, Cwmafan
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Bright H.
27' Event
Eason L.
Penalty Missed
27' Event
John A.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Trefelin and Cambrian United finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cambrian United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Trefelin
15%
Draws
34%
Cambrian United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trefelin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Trefelin haven't matched Cambrian United's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trefelin Cambrian United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.83 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Cymru Premier
Trefelin vs Cambrian United
0:4
Mar 17, 2026 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Cambrian United
0:4
Oct 10, 2025 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Trefelin
0:2
Feb 28, 2025 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Trefelin
1:3
Nov 2, 2024 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Cambrian United
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trefelin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Cambrian United Compare

Top Goalscorer John A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eason L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trefelin 30 / 100
Cambrian United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trefelin Cambrian United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Trefelin's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cambrian United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Cambrian United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Trefelin VS Cambrian United
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Trefelin

(Home)
06 Nov
Trefelin
1 : 2
Colwyn Bay
30 Oct
Barry Town
3 : 0
Trefelin
23 Oct
Trefelin
0 : 2
Flint Town
17 Oct
Trefelin
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
09 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 3
Trefelin
Page 1 of 6

Cambrian United

(Away)
06 Nov
Cambrian United
3 : 3
Barry Town
30 Oct
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0
Cambrian United
23 Oct
Cambrian United
2 : 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC
16 Oct
Cambrian United
5 : 0
Trethomas Bluebirds
09 Oct
Cambrian United
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 16 14 2 0 54:6 44
2 Connahs Q. 16 12 2 2 34:9 38
3 Penybont 15 11 3 1 32:11 36
4 Colwyn Bay 16 10 2 4 28:18 32
5 Airbus UK Broughton FC 16 10 0 6 34:24 30
6 Caernarfon 16 9 2 5 42:21 29
7 Barry Town 16 9 2 5 35:29 29
8 Cardiff Metropolitan University 16 7 4 5 29:23 25
9 Cambrian United 16 5 4 7 26:41 19
10 Llandudno FC 16 5 1 10 22:29 16
11 Haverfordwest 16 5 1 10 12:23 16
12 Briton Ferry 16 4 3 9 17:28 15
13 Flint Town 16 4 2 10 19:27 14
14 Ammanford Town 16 3 3 10 13:43 12
15 Trefelin 16 1 3 12 9:38 6
16 Holywell Town FC 15 0 2 13 16:52 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)