Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trem vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Brazil Brazil

Copa Norte Estádio Augusto Antunes, Santana
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Eric Bahia
38' Event
Neto
44' Event
Moreira J.

AI Match Summary

Trem in this Copa Norte tie, finishing 5-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Trem
28%
Draws
22%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Trem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Trem at 1.75 per game, Gremio Atletico Sampaio at 1.
  • Model gives Trem a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Gremio Atletico Sampaio, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Trem Clean Sheet 19%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trem Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Copa Norte
Trem vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
5:4
Jul 12, 2025 Serie D
Trem vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1:3
May 3, 2025 Serie D
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Trem
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trem Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Eric Bahia
3 Goals
Assists Leader Veras I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trem 49 / 100
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trem Gremio Atletico Sampaio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trem's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

Away concern: Gremio Atletico Sampaio has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trem VS Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Trem

(Home)
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1
Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4
America RN
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2
Sampaio Correa
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2
Trem
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
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Gremio Atletico Sampaio

(Away)
14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1
Manaus FC
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3
Monte Roraima
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nacional-AM (Manaus)541014:113
2Paysandu PA53028:109
3Guapore52124:67
4Trem520311:116
5Independencia Futebol Clube51224:85
6Gremio Atletico Sampaio510410:153
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aguia De Maraba541012:613
2Porto Velho531110:510
3Amazonas52129:67
4Remo52126:67
5Galvez51049:173
6Monte Roraima50239:152
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)