Sport Picks
Treowen vs Pontypridd United Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
19'
19'
Phipps E.
45'
45'
Marsh T.
54'
54'
Davies C.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pontypridd United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pontypridd United have won more games recently than Treowen.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
- Pontypridd United have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Treowen Clean Sheet 10%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Treowen | Pontypridd United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Cymru South
Treowen vs Pontypridd United
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Cymru South
Treowen vs Pontypridd United
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Treowen vs Pontypridd United
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Treowen
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Treowen Compare
Top Goalscorer Gameson T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Pontypridd United Compare
Top Goalscorer Phipps E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marsh T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Treowen 34 / 100
Pontypridd United 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Treowen Pontypridd United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pontypridd United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Treowen scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 4.75 goals per match.
Pontypridd United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Treowen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Treowen VS Pontypridd United
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Treowen
(Home) 03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1 Treowen
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2 Treowen
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2 Treowen
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Treowen
3 : 0 Caerphilly
01 Aug
Treowen
2 : 3 Pontypridd United
18 Apr
Treowen
4 : 1 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 4
Pontypridd United
(Away) 03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3 Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
01 Aug
Treowen
2 : 3 Pontypridd United
11 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
