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Trevigliese vs Pro Palazzolo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Minessi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Trevigliese and Pro Palazzolo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pro Palazzolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Trevigliese
28%
Draws
50%
Pro Palazzolo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pro Palazzolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pro Palazzolo come out ahead of Trevigliese on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Pro Palazzolo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Trevigliese Clean Sheet 12%
Pro Palazzolo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trevigliese Pro Palazzolo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Trevigliese vs Pro Palazzolo
0:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pro Palazzolo vs Trevigliese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trevigliese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Pro Palazzolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Minessi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trevigliese 22 / 100
Pro Palazzolo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trevigliese Pro Palazzolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trevigliese found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Pro Palazzolo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Trevigliese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trevigliese VS Pro Palazzolo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trevigliese

(Home)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
02 Apr
Piacenza
2 : 0
Trevigliese
Page 1 of 6

Pro Palazzolo

(Away)
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2
Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 1
Tropical Coriano
26 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
19 Apr
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 1
Crema
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)