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Triestina vs Inter U23

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Alexiou C.
25' Event
Tonetto M.
45' Event
D'Urso C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Triestina and Inter U23 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Triestina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Triestina
28%
Draws
22%
Inter U23
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Triestina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter U23 come out ahead of Triestina on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Triestina's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Triestina Clean Sheet 68%
Inter U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triestina Inter U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Inter U23
4:1
Sep 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Inter U23 vs Triestina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Tonetto M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader D'Urso C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Inter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alexiou C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triestina 59 / 100
Inter U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triestina Inter U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Triestina found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Inter U23 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Triestina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Triestina VS Inter U23
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Triestina

(Home)
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Triestina
11 Apr
Triestina
2 : 0
Giana Erminio
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1
Triestina
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0
Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 6

Inter U23

(Away)
26 Jul
Novara
2 : 1
Inter U23
25 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1
Union Brescia
19 Apr
Giana Erminio
2 : 0
Inter U23
12 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1
Arzignano
08 Apr
Inter U23
2 : 1
Trento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)