Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trinec vs MFK Karvina

Czech Republic Czech Republic

ChNL Stadion Rudolfa Labaje, Trinec
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Selnar J.
37'
Vlachovsky M.
40' Event
Breite R.

AI Match Summary

The ChNL game between Trinec and MFK Karvina finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trinec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Trinec
15%
Draws
39%
MFK Karvina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trinec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Trinec haven't matched MFK Karvina's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular ChNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Trinec Clean Sheet 10%
MFK Karvina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trinec MFK Karvina
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 1
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 ChNL
Trinec vs MFK Karvina
3:2
May 28, 2023 ChNL
MFK Karvina vs Trinec
1:0
Jul 30, 2022 ChNL
Trinec vs MFK Karvina
0:3
Jan 9, 2021 Club Friendly
MFK Karvina vs Trinec
0:0
Aug 15, 2020 Club Friendly
MFK Karvina vs Trinec
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trinec Compare

Top Goalscorer Dedic R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dadak L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

MFK Karvina Compare

Top Goalscorer Selnar J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Breite R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trinec 30 / 100
MFK Karvina 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trinec MFK Karvina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trinec's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

MFK Karvina let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Trinec went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trinec VS MFK Karvina
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trinec

(Home)
11 Sept
Trinec
3 : 2
MFK Karvina
04 Sept
Vlasim
2 : 1
Trinec
29 Aug
Trinec
1 : 4
Ostrava B
26 Aug
Bzenec-Vracov
1 : 4
Trinec
21 Aug
Opava
2 : 2
Trinec
Page 1 of 6

MFK Karvina

(Away)
11 Sept
Trinec
3 : 2
MFK Karvina
04 Sept
MFK Karvina
2 : 0
SK Kladno
29 Aug
Pribram
2 : 1
MFK Karvina
26 Aug
FK Kozlovice
2 : 1
MFK Karvina
21 Aug
MFK Karvina
3 : 0
Zizkov
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MFK Karvina 9 6 0 3 19:12 18
2 Usti nad Labem 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
3 Dukla Prague 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
4 Jihlava 9 5 1 3 14:9 16
5 Pribram 9 3 5 1 15:14 14
6 Slavia Prague B 9 3 4 2 19:15 13
7 Taborsko 9 3 4 2 13:12 13
8 Vlasim 9 3 3 3 17:14 12
9 Ostrava B 9 3 2 4 15:12 11
10 SK Kladno 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
11 Opava 9 2 4 3 13:15 10
12 Zizkov 9 3 1 5 8:16 10
13 FK Ceska Lipa 9 2 3 4 10:16 9
14 Prostejov 9 1 5 3 11:12 8
15 Trinec 9 1 4 4 10:17 7
16 Kromeriz 9 1 3 5 8:19 6
Promotion - Chance Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Chance Liga (Relegation)