Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Colima FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tritones Vallarta play Colima FC in the Liga Premier Serie A. Tritones Vallarta are favorites here. Recently, Tritones Vallarta averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Colima FC averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Tritones Vallarta won 3, Colima FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 10, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Tritones Vallarta and 0.94 for Colima FC. This points to a Tritones Vallarta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%

Tritones Vallarta

15%

Draws

19%

Colima FC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tritones Vallarta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Tritones Vallarta picked up more points recently compared to Colima FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 24%

Colima FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tritones Vallarta	Colima FC
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	16	4
Draws	3	5
Losses	12	21
Goals Scored	1.23	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.87
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta vs Colima FC

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Aug 23, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Colima FC vs Tritones Vallarta

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Mar 2, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta vs Colima FC

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

2:3

Sep 30, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A

Colima FC vs Tritones Vallarta

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Mar 26, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A

Colima FC vs Tritones Vallarta

Possession: 54% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tritones Vallarta 64 / 100

Colima FC 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tritones Vallarta Colima FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tritones Vallarta Win (1)

Secondary Pick Tritones Vallarta & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.5%

1.72

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.9%

3.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tritones Vallarta attacking → ← attacking Colima FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tritones Vallarta scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Colima FC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tritones Vallarta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Colima FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 17

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17