Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta

Sat, Oct 11, 2025

3 - 2

10:00 PM

Guerreros de Autlan

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Villezcas C.

45'

Zepeda J.

47'

Suarez A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Tritones Vallarta and Guerreros de Autlan finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tritones Vallarta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Tritones Vallarta

22%

Draws

18%

Guerreros de Autlan

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tritones Vallarta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Tritones Vallarta come out ahead of Guerreros de Autlan on wins alone.
Model gives Tritones Vallarta a 60% chance of winning this.
Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 20%

Guerreros de Autlan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tritones Vallarta	Guerreros de Autlan
Matches Played	30	26
Wins	16	8
Draws	3	5
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	0.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Guerreros de Autlan vs Tritones Vallarta

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Oct 11, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta vs Guerreros de Autlan

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 0 - 1

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tritones Vallarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Saucedo C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Guerreros de Autlan Compare

Top Goalscorer Villezcas C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zepeda J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tritones Vallarta 58 / 100

Guerreros de Autlan 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tritones Vallarta Guerreros de Autlan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guerreros de Autlan has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Tritones Vallarta scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tritones Vallarta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tritones Vallarta VS Guerreros de Autlan

0.88 Goals Scored 1.13

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

38% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17