Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trival Valderas vs Ursaria

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Trival Valderas and Ursaria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trival Valderas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Trival Valderas
20%
Draws
34%
Ursaria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trival Valderas come out ahead of Ursaria on wins alone.
  • Trival Valderas are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 20%
Ursaria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trival Valderas Ursaria
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Trival Valderas vs Ursaria
1:0
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Ursaria
0:1
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Ursaria vs Trival Valderas
2:0
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Ursaria
2:1
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Ursaria vs Trival Valderas
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trival Valderas 42 / 100
Ursaria 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trival Valderas Ursaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trival Valderas's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ursaria has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Trival Valderas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ursaria lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trival Valderas VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trival Valderas

(Home)
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
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Ursaria

(Away)
05 May
Ursaria
1 : 0
Villanovense
28 Apr
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Ursaria
21 Apr
Ursaria
0 : 1
Numancia
14 Apr
Illescas
1 : 2
Ursaria
07 Apr
Ursaria
0 : 1
Atletico Paso
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