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Trofense vs Alianca de Gandra

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018 game between Trofense and Alianca de Gandra finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trofense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Trofense
15%
Draws
36%
Alianca de Gandra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trofense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Trofense haven't matched Alianca de Gandra's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Trofense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Trofense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Trofense Clean Sheet 68%
Alianca de Gandra Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trofense Alianca de Gandra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.68 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Trofense vs Alianca de Gandra
1:0
Sep 10, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Alianca de Gandra vs Trofense
1:2
Apr 2, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Alianca de Gandra vs Trofense
1:0
Feb 12, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Trofense vs Alianca de Gandra
3:0
Nov 13, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Trofense vs Alianca de Gandra
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trofense 59 / 100
Alianca de Gandra 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trofense Alianca de Gandra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trofense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alianca de Gandra conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Alianca de Gandra's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Trofense found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Trofense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trofense

(Home)
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4
Leca
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0
Trofense
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1
Trofense
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
15 Aug
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Trofense
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Alianca de Gandra

(Away)
22 Sept
Gondomar
1 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
08 Sept
Alianca de Gandra
2 : 1
SC Salgueiros
15 Aug
Leca
4 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
22 Apr
Alianca de Gandra
0 : 1
Canelas 2010
15 Apr
Gondomar
2 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Felgueiras 30 16 8 6 53:28 56
2 SC Espinho 30 15 9 6 50:30 54
3 Gondomar 30 13 10 7 43:29 49
4 FC Cesarense 30 11 15 4 44:26 48
5 Cinfaes 30 13 6 11 39:40 45
6 Amarante FC 30 12 9 9 42:33 45
7 Sanjoanense 30 10 12 8 35:30 42
8 Pedras Rubras 30 11 9 10 36:32 42
9 Trofense 30 12 6 12 34:35 42
10 Coimbroes 30 11 8 11 40:46 41
11 Canelas 2010 30 11 8 11 45:44 41
12 SC Salgueiros 30 7 14 9 30:34 35
13 Camacha 30 10 4 16 33:47 34
14 Alianca de Gandra 30 8 5 17 24:47 29
15 Freamunde 30 6 10 14 26:31 28
16 Sousense 30 6 3 21 19:61 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)