Sport Picks

Norway

Division 3 - Group 5

Fauske Sprint

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tromso 2 play Fauske Sprint in the Division 3 - Group 5. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tromso 2 averaged 1.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Fauske Sprint averaged 2.47 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. In past meetings, Tromso 2 won 0, Fauske Sprint won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 14, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Tromso 2 and 2.44 for Fauske Sprint. This points to a Fauske Sprint double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Tromso 2

32%

Draws

44%

Fauske Sprint

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Fauske Sprint

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Tromso 2 picked up more points recently compared to Fauske Sprint.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 2.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 95%

Over 2.5 Goals 83%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82%

Tromso 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Fauske Sprint Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 86%

Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tromso 2	Fauske Sprint
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	7	11
Draws	8	11
Losses	14	8
Goals Scored	1.9	2.47
Goals Conceded	2.1	2.6
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5

Tromso 2 vs Fauske Sprint

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tromso 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Haugan N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Fauske Sprint Compare

Top Goalscorer Halvorsen R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Olsen J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.62

Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso 2 24 / 100

Fauske Sprint 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tromso 2 Fauske Sprint

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fauske Sprint or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.9%

1.30

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tromso 2 attacking → ← attacking Fauske Sprint

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tromso 2 scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Fauske Sprint let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tromso 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Fauske Sprint lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 44

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.88

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50