Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tropical Coriano vs Crema

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Bellavista M.
67' Event
Barbatosta D.
90' Event
Gramignoli L.

AI Match Summary

Tropical Coriano in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tropical Coriano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tropical Coriano
20%
Draws
16%
Crema
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tropical Coriano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Tropical Coriano have won more games recently than Crema.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Tropical Coriano taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Tropical Coriano here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tropical Coriano Clean Sheet 68%
Crema Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tropical Coriano Crema
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.83 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Tropical Coriano
2:0
Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Tropical Coriano vs Crema
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Tropical Coriano
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tropical Coriano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellavista M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barbatosta D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Crema Compare

Top Goalscorer Gramignoli L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tropical Coriano 77 / 100
Crema 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tropical Coriano Crema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tropical Coriano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tropical Coriano's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Crema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Crema registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tropical Coriano VS Crema
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tropical Coriano

(Home)
20 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Tropical Coriano
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1
Varese FC
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

Crema

(Away)
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Crema
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)