Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tropical Coriano vs Tuttocuoio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Fernandes N.
80' Event
Bartoli T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Tropical Coriano and Tuttocuoio finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tropical Coriano
20%
Draws
16%
Tuttocuoio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tropical Coriano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tropical Coriano come out ahead of Tuttocuoio on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tropical Coriano a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tropical Coriano Clean Sheet 20%
Tuttocuoio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tropical Coriano Tuttocuoio
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 0
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 0.83 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.72 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Tropical Coriano vs Tuttocuoio
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Tuttocuoio vs Tropical Coriano
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tropical Coriano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartoli T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.86

Tuttocuoio Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tropical Coriano 85 / 100
Tuttocuoio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tropical Coriano Tuttocuoio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tropical Coriano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuttocuoio has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Tropical Coriano's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Tuttocuoio lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tropical Coriano VS Tuttocuoio
1 Goals Scored 0.57
1 Goals Conceded 2.43
50% Over 1.5 71%
13% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Tropical Coriano

(Home)
20 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Tropical Coriano
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1
Varese FC
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

Tuttocuoio

(Away)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0
Tuttocuoio
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1
Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 0
Tuttocuoio
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)