Sport Picks
Troszyn vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 
Match Events
19'
19'
Gebala P.
25'
25'
Klosinski M.
66'
66'
Klosinski M.
AI Match Summary
Troszyn in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Troszyn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Troszyn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Troszyn lately — more wins on the board than Tomaszow Mazowiecki.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Troszyn taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Troszyn have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 10%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Troszyn | Tomaszow Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Troszyn
0:2
May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
4:1
Oct 24, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Troszyn
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Troszyn Compare
Top Goalscorer Klosinski M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Twarowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Gebala P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Troszyn 56 / 100
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Troszyn Tomaszow Mazowiecki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Troszyn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Troszyn scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Tomaszow Mazowiecki conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Troszyn remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Troszyn VS Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Troszyn
(Home) 26 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1 LKS Lodz II
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1 Troszyn
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1 LKS Lomza
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
29 Aug
Troszyn
3 : 3 KTS Weszlo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1 LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1 LKS Lomza
29 Aug
Troszyn
3 : 3 KTS Weszlo
19 Aug
Troszyn
1 : 4 Warta Sieradz
08 Aug
Troszyn
1 : 4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
(Away) 03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
29 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Aug
MKS Mlawa
2 : 3 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
08 Aug
Plock II
2 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
