Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Troszyn

4 - 1

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Gebala P.

25'

Klosinski M.

66'

Klosinski M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Troszyn in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Troszyn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Troszyn

Draws

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Troszyn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Troszyn lately — more wins on the board than Tomaszow Mazowiecki.
90% — that's where the model lands on Troszyn taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Troszyn Clean Sheet 16%

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Troszyn	Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	11
Draws	6	7
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	1.5	1.88
Goals Conceded	1	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Troszyn vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

4:1

Oct 24, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Troszyn

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troszyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Klosinski M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Twarowski M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Gebala P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troszyn 84 / 100

Tomaszow Mazowiecki 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Troszyn Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Troszyn scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Tomaszow Mazowiecki has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Troszyn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Troszyn VS Tomaszow Mazowiecki

1.5 Goals Scored 1.88

1 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15