Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSG Neustrelitz vs Furstenwalde

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024 Parkstadion, Neustrelitz
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Hartel M.
37' Event
Schmunck T.
51' Event
Kliefoth T.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024 game between TSG Neustrelitz and Furstenwalde finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSG Neustrelitz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
TSG Neustrelitz
15%
Draws
0%
Furstenwalde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSG Neustrelitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • TSG Neustrelitz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on TSG Neustrelitz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
TSG Neustrelitz Clean Sheet 68%
Furstenwalde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSG Neustrelitz Furstenwalde
Matches Played 37 33
Wins 17 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 27
Goals Scored 2.22 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.68 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TSG Neustrelitz vs Furstenwalde
4:0
Jul 30, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Furstenwalde vs TSG Neustrelitz
4:2
Feb 12, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TSG Neustrelitz vs Furstenwalde
3:0
Aug 19, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Furstenwalde vs TSG Neustrelitz
0:0
Apr 8, 2018 Regionalliga Nordost
Furstenwalde vs TSG Neustrelitz
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSG Neustrelitz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kliefoth T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hartel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Furstenwalde Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSG Neustrelitz 95 / 100
Furstenwalde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSG Neustrelitz Furstenwalde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSG Neustrelitz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TSG Neustrelitz scored in 86% of their last 37 outings.

Furstenwalde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Furstenwalde's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

TSG Neustrelitz VS Furstenwalde
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 7
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

TSG Neustrelitz

(Home)
20 Sept
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
13 Sept
TSG Neustrelitz
1 : 2
Reinickendorfer
28 Aug
Rathenow
2 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
14 Aug
TSG Neustrelitz
3 : 2
Siedenbollentin
08 Aug
Lichtenberg
3 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
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Furstenwalde

(Away)
18 Jul
Polonia Slubice
7 : 1
Furstenwalde
08 Jun
Furstenwalde
1 : 2
SC Staaken
02 Jun
Mahlsdorf
4 : 1
Furstenwalde
17 May
Furstenwalde
0 : 2
TB Berlin
05 May
Furstenwalde
0 : 4
Rostocker FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Zehlendorf 28 22 5 1 102:29 71
2 Lichtenberg 28 22 4 2 87:18 70
3 Sparta Lichtenberg 28 16 5 7 73:48 53
4 Mahlsdorf 28 14 4 10 52:43 46
5 TSG Neustrelitz 28 13 4 11 55:46 43
6 TB Berlin 28 11 8 9 49:48 41
7 TUS Makkabi 28 10 9 9 44:42 39
8 SV Tasmania Berlin 28 10 7 11 47:44 37
9 Wismar 28 10 6 12 47:52 36
10 Rathenow 28 9 7 12 46:55 34
11 Rsv Eintracht 28 10 3 15 49:66 33
12 SC Staaken 28 10 2 16 43:74 32
13 Dynamo Schwerin 28 8 4 16 43:62 28
14 Rostocker FC 28 7 2 19 43:88 23
15 Furstenwalde 28 2 2 24 22:87 8
16 CFC Hertha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)