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TSK Simferopol vs GFK Yalta

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Dzyon V.
21' Event
Antipenko R. D.
59' Event
Matvijenko D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

TSK Simferopol in this Premier League (Crimea) matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSK Simferopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
TSK Simferopol
15%
Draws
42%
GFK Yalta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSK Simferopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • TSK Simferopol have won more games recently than GFK Yalta.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and TSK Simferopol have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
TSK Simferopol Clean Sheet 10%
GFK Yalta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSK Simferopol GFK Yalta
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.43 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs GFK Yalta
4:0
May 31, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs TSK Simferopol
3:2
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs GFK Yalta
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs GFK Yalta
2:0
Oct 15, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs TSK Simferopol
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSK Simferopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzyon V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antipenko R. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

GFK Yalta Compare

Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSK Simferopol 30 / 100
GFK Yalta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSK Simferopol GFK Yalta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GFK Yalta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSK Simferopol found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

GFK Yalta has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: TSK Simferopol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSK Simferopol VS GFK Yalta
2.13 Goals Scored 4.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

TSK Simferopol

(Home)
09 Sept
TSK Simferopol
4 : 0
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
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GFK Yalta

(Away)
09 Sept
TSK Simferopol
4 : 0
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
Feodosiya
3 : 6
GFK Yalta
30 Aug
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
MAK
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
Zarechnoye
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