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TSK Simferopol vs Zarechnoye

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea) 2025 RSK Lokomotiv, Simferopol
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Pshenichnikov V.
31'
Popov N.
34'
Sub
Ivashkevich A. In: Lutfiev E.
Out: Ivashkevich A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) 2025 game between TSK Simferopol and Zarechnoye finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
TSK Simferopol
33%
Draws
27%
Zarechnoye
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: TSK Simferopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • TSK Simferopol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • TSK Simferopol are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
TSK Simferopol Clean Sheet 16%
Zarechnoye Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSK Simferopol Zarechnoye
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Zarechnoye
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Zarechnoye
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol
3:3
May 24, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Zarechnoye
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSK Simferopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Pshenichnikov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Zarechnoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Lutfiev E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSK Simferopol 39 / 100
Zarechnoye 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSK Simferopol Zarechnoye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSK Simferopol scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Zarechnoye let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: TSK Simferopol remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TSK Simferopol VS Zarechnoye
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

TSK Simferopol

(Home)
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
06 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
Zarechnoye
31 May
GFK Yalta
3 : 2
TSK Simferopol
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Zarechnoye

(Away)
20 Jun
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
Zarechnoye
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
06 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
Zarechnoye
30 May
Feodosiya
2 : 3
Zarechnoye
24 May
Zarechnoye
1 : 4
MAK
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