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TSV Aubstadt vs Buchbach

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Pitter T.
47' Event
Grimm M.
62' Event
Bahar S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

TSV Aubstadt in this Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSV Aubstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
TSV Aubstadt
15%
Draws
71%
Buchbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buchbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • TSV Aubstadt haven't matched Buchbach's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Buchbach's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
TSV Aubstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Buchbach Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Aubstadt Buchbach
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.39 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs TSV Aubstadt
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Buchbach
4:1
Sep 26, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs TSV Aubstadt
2:4
May 10, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Buchbach
1:1
Oct 22, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs TSV Aubstadt
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Aubstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Sturm S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pitter T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Buchbach Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Aubstadt 10 / 100
Buchbach 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Aubstadt Buchbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buchbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

TSV Aubstadt's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Buchbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: TSV Aubstadt stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Aubstadt VS Buchbach
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Aubstadt

(Home)
18 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
0 : 2
Bayern II
15 Sept
Bayreuth
1 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
11 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 3
Unterhaching
04 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 0
Ansbach
29 Aug
Vfb Eichstatt
3 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
Page 1 of 6

Buchbach

(Away)
18 Sept
Buchbach
3 : 1
1. FC Schweinfurt
11 Sept
Buchbach
2 : 0
Bayern II
05 Sept
Landsberg
1 : 3
Buchbach
29 Aug
Buchbach
2 : 1
Bayreuth
21 Aug
Ansbach
1 : 3
Buchbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nurnberg II 34 24 5 5 68:35 77
2 Wurzburger Kickers 34 22 9 3 74:25 75
3 Unterhaching 34 22 4 8 72:30 70
4 Illertissen 34 19 7 8 72:46 64
5 Vilzing 34 15 6 13 49:44 51
6 TSV Aubstadt 34 13 10 11 49:45 49
7 Vfb Eichstatt 34 12 12 10 48:37 48
8 Burghausen 34 13 8 13 46:50 47
9 Ansbach 34 13 7 14 54:65 46
10 Buchbach 34 13 7 14 54:69 46
11 Bayern II 34 14 6 14 61:52 45
12 Memmingen 34 10 12 12 43:47 42
13 Bayreuth 34 9 11 14 36:53 38
14 Augsburg II 34 9 7 18 37:48 34
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 9 7 18 39:60 34
16 Furth II 34 6 10 18 47:60 28
17 Aschaffenburg 34 6 8 20 31:71 26
18 Hankofen-Hailing 34 5 8 21 31:74 23
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)