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TSV Essingen vs Aalen

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TSV Essingen host Aalen in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. TSV Essingen have averaged 2 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Aalen's 2.88 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Aalen slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.56 - 2.69) back Aalen to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
TSV Essingen
33%
Draws
40%
Aalen
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aalen a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
TSV Essingen Clean Sheet 10%
Aalen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Essingen Aalen
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 21
Draws 11 2
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
TSV Essingen vs Aalen
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Aalen vs TSV Essingen
2:3
Sep 6, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Aalen
0:2
Mar 1, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Aalen vs TSV Essingen
2:0
Aug 24, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Aalen
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Essingen 26 / 100
Aalen 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Essingen Aalen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TSV Essingen scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Aalen let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

TSV Essingen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Essingen VS Aalen
2 Goals Scored 2.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%