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TSV Essingen vs Balingen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg game between TSV Essingen and Balingen finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Essingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
TSV Essingen
35%
Draws
55%
Balingen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Balingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TSV Essingen come out ahead of Balingen on wins alone.
  • Model gives Balingen a 55% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Balingen have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
TSV Essingen Clean Sheet 16%
Balingen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Essingen Balingen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.57 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Balingen
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Balingen vs TSV Essingen
5:1
Sep 4, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Balingen
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Essingen 10 / 100
Balingen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Essingen Balingen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balingen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balingen let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

TSV Essingen found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

TSV Essingen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Essingen VS Balingen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Essingen

(Home)
19 Sept
Teningen
2 : 1
TSV Essingen
12 Sept
TSV Essingen
2 : 2
1. FC Muhlhausen
09 Sept
Karlsruher II
0 : 0
TSV Essingen
05 Sept
TSV Essingen
0 : 4
1. CfR Pforzheim
29 Aug
Ravensburg
3 : 0
TSV Essingen
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Balingen

(Away)
19 Sept
1. CfR Pforzheim
1 : 2
Balingen
12 Sept
Backnang
1 : 1
Balingen
09 Sept
Ravensburg
2 : 2
Balingen
05 Sept
Balingen
3 : 0
FC Normannia Gmund
30 Aug
Turkspor Neckarsulm
0 : 3
Balingen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oberachern 8 6 1 1 18:7 19
2 Reutlingen 8 6 1 1 16:9 19
3 Backnang 8 5 2 1 22:11 17
4 FC 08 Villingen 8 5 1 2 19:10 16
5 1. FC Muhlhausen 8 5 1 2 21:18 16
6 Young Boys Reutlingen 7 4 2 1 17:11 14
7 Holzhausen FC 8 4 1 3 15:13 13
8 1. CfR Pforzheim 7 3 2 2 13:9 11
9 Balingen 8 3 2 3 14:12 11
10 Bahlinger 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
11 Ravensburg 8 2 4 2 10:10 10
12 Teningen 8 3 0 5 14:18 9
13 Turkspor Neckarsulm 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
14 Karlsruher II 8 1 4 3 11:15 7
15 Turkish SV Singen 8 2 1 5 8:15 7
16 TSV Essingen 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
17 FC Nottingen 8 1 0 7 10:17 3
18 FC Normannia Gmund 8 0 0 8 5:25 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)