Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSV Grafenstein vs Donau Klagenfurt

Austria Austria

Karnten 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TSV Grafenstein in this Karnten 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSV Grafenstein.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
TSV Grafenstein
39%
Draws
31%
Donau Klagenfurt
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • TSV Grafenstein haven't matched Donau Klagenfurt's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 10%
Donau Klagenfurt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Grafenstein Donau Klagenfurt
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 2.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs Donau Klagenfurt
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 Karnten
Donau Klagenfurt vs TSV Grafenstein
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Grafenstein 29 / 100
Donau Klagenfurt 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Grafenstein Donau Klagenfurt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TSV Grafenstein scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

TSV Grafenstein went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Donau Klagenfurt has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

TSV Grafenstein VS Donau Klagenfurt
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Grafenstein

(Home)
10 Jul
Treibach
1 : 6
TSV Grafenstein
03 Jun
TSV Grafenstein
3 : 2
Dellach/Gail
29 May
Volkermarkt
5 : 3
TSV Grafenstein
23 May
TSV Grafenstein
5 : 0
Atus Ferlach
16 May
Matrei
1 : 3
TSV Grafenstein
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Donau Klagenfurt

(Away)
05 Jun
Bleiburg
1 : 2
Donau Klagenfurt
29 May
Donau Klagenfurt
2 : 0
SV Spittal
23 May
Donau Klagenfurt
3 : 0
Asko Kottmannsdorf
17 May
Dellach/Gail
0 : 1
Donau Klagenfurt
13 May
Donau Klagenfurt
4 : 1
Volkermarkt
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