Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSV Grunwald vs Rain/Lech

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Leugner D.
44' Event
Haas L.
50' Event
Leugner D.

AI Match Summary

TSV Grunwald in this Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSV Grunwald.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
TSV Grunwald
15%
Draws
57%
Rain/Lech
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rain/Lech

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • TSV Grunwald have won more games recently than Rain/Lech.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
TSV Grunwald Clean Sheet 13%
Rain/Lech Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Grunwald Rain/Lech
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.67 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.57 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs TSV Grunwald
0:3
Apr 25, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
TSV Grunwald vs Rain/Lech
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Grunwald Compare

Top Goalscorer Leugner D.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Rain/Lech Compare

Top Goalscorer Haas L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Grunwald 35 / 100
Rain/Lech 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Grunwald Rain/Lech

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rain/Lech Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rain/Lech let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: TSV Grunwald scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Rain/Lech lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Grunwald VS Rain/Lech
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Grunwald

(Home)
24 May
TSV Grunwald
0 : 2
Geretsried
21 May
Geretsried
4 : 0
TSV Grunwald
17 May
TSV Grunwald
5 : 1
Ismaning
09 May
Heimstetten
5 : 1
TSV Grunwald
02 May
TSV Grunwald
0 : 6
Landsberg
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Rain/Lech

(Away)
17 May
Rain/Lech
2 : 5
Munich 1860 II
10 May
Ismaning
4 : 5
Rain/Lech
03 May
Rain/Lech
5 : 4
Heimstetten
29 Apr
Rain/Lech
0 : 3
TSV Grunwald
25 Apr
TSV Grunwald
3 : 1
Rain/Lech
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Memmingen 32 17 12 3 49:21 63
2 Munich 1860 II 32 18 8 6 64:30 62
3 SV Erlbach 32 16 10 6 33:21 58
4 Pipinsried 32 18 4 10 63:39 58
5 Deisenhofen 32 17 5 10 56:45 56
6 Kottern-St. Mang 32 16 6 10 57:50 54
7 Kirchanschoring 32 15 7 10 57:46 52
8 Landsberg 32 14 2 16 64:41 44
9 Schalding 32 12 8 12 41:47 44
10 Heimstetten 32 12 5 15 78:70 41
11 Nordlingen 32 12 5 15 53:56 41
12 Turkspor Augsburg 32 10 7 15 37:59 37
13 Ismaning 32 9 8 15 35:51 35
14 TSV Grunwald 32 9 6 17 54:78 33
15 Sonthofen 32 9 5 18 39:60 32
16 Unterhaching II 32 8 7 17 32:61 31
17 Rain/Lech 32 5 5 22 39:76 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)