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TSV Kornburg vs Karlburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
El Berd S.
36' Event
Janz M.
52' Event
Dedeoglu C.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 game between TSV Kornburg and Karlburg finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Kornburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
TSV Kornburg
39%
Draws
30%
Karlburg
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlburg haven't matched TSV Kornburg's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
TSV Kornburg Clean Sheet 20%
Karlburg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Kornburg Karlburg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV Kornburg vs Karlburg
6:1
Oct 12, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs TSV Kornburg
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Kornburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sauer J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader El Berd S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Karlburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kunzmann M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Kornburg 32 / 100
Karlburg 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Kornburg Karlburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: TSV Kornburg scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Karlburg lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Kornburg VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vfb Eichstatt34235674:3374
2Eltersdorf342110356:2473
3Ingolstadt II34206870:4666
4ATSV Erlangen34188852:3662
5Cham341510960:4355
6Fortuna Regensburg341581184:5853
7Weiden341481247:4050
8TSV Kornburg341381358:5347
9Neudrossenfeld3412101249:5746
10Wurzburger FV3412101250:5846
11Bayern Hof3411101343:4043
12ASV Neumarkt341341739:4943
13Regensburg II3410111348:5141
14Abtswind3410101446:5140
15DJK Ammerthal34981743:5135
16Gebenbach348111552:7135
17Munchberg34552430:8320
18Karlburg34362530:8715